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  • Fantasy Basho

Hatsu 2024 Day Eleven




Public League Leaderboard

Scores from Fantasizr.


Yusho Arasoi

10 Wins

05 Sekiwake East Kotonowaka


9 Wins

01 Yokozuna East Terunofuji

02 Ozeki #1 East Kirishima

03 Ozeki #1 West Hoshoryu


8 Wins

09 Maegashira #1 East Wakamotoharu

31 Maegashira #12 East Takanosho

36 Maegashira #14 West Onosho

38 Maegashira #15 West Onosato


Notable Maneuvers

Shitatenage. Hoshoryu's throws happen so often and are so well done, they can be taken for granted. But he took Onosato, a gigantic, athletic powerhouse of a wrestler, and turned him around neatly and powerfully after a quick mawashi grip. It was truly something.


Match of the Day

01 Yokozuna East Terunofuji versus 36 Maegashira #14 West Onosho

Onosho is fighting as well as he has in years, and Terunofuji needed to be up for a stern test from the start. Onosho came right at the Yokozuna with a forward charge that meant the Yokozuna needed to regroup. Regroup he did, and efficiently saw Onosho over the edge with a remarkable power yorikiri.


Recap

Onosho fell to Terunofuji, just after Onosato fell to Hoshoryu. Coupled with Kotonowaka's win over Oho and Kirishima's handling of Daieisho, the four men with realistic chances of a yusho are the Yokozuna, the two competing Ozeki, and the top Sekiwake. If Onosho and Onosato win out and the men above them lose, they have a slim chance. Yet their problem is that they can't really all lose that much. They'll need to face each other still.


They just won't do it on Day Twelve. Terunofuji will face Onosato, while Kotonowaka gets Onosho. Those matches could upset the apple cart before the top of the Banzuke round-robin. The Kaiju and the Scion of Sadogatake are probably favorites in those matches, as are Kirishima and Hoshoryu against Tamawashi and Taknosho respectively. Wahamotoharu has the best chance of the 8 win rikishi, because he has already faced the top four men and got wins over Kotonowaka and Terunofuji. He has the easiest path for winning out on paper.


Wakamotoharu will still be relying on upsets to disrupt the yusho chcances for Terunofuji, Kirishima, Hoshoryu, and Kotonowaka. Upsets happen in sumo, but they seem to be less likely right now. Kotonowaka isn't just on a 10-1 record, but has been fighting extraordinarily well. He plain bottled up Oho in his Day Eleven match, after withstanding solid offense and keeping his feet. Keeping his feet is what Kotonowaka does best, and it's easier said than done.


Kotonowaka also has an uphill battle for the yusho, although the math is in his favor. He beats Onosho in their Day Twelve match, and then he will need to see Terunofuji, Kirishima, and Hoshoryu in some order. He is under water against all three, including an 0-6 record against the Yokozuna. This basho has already seen Kotonowaka perform as well as he ever has. He needs to continue to step up just to win the basho. Ozeki promotion is close, but he will have a trial by fire to get there. There's another guy with a still possible Yokozuna promotion chance he will need to beat.


And that's the way sumo is supposed to work. Yokozuna should win yusho, and they should be most closely threatened by Ozeki. Upstart Maegashira should get smacked down by Sanyaku men in the last third of the basho. Despite the litany of kyujo, this is the first basho going to a traditional ideal over the final few days. Many things could happen, but whoever wins the Emperor's Cup, this seems to be one of the likely scenarios.

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